Empoli vs. Lazio Tips and Odds – 04/05/2025

• Fixture: Empoli vs Lazio (Serie A 2024/25)
• Date: Sunday, 4 May 2025
• Venue: Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli

Match Preview

Empoli host Lazio in a crucial Serie A fixture with both teams desperate for points, albeit for very different reasons. Empoli, languishing in 19th place, are fighting for survival and are two points from safety with just four matches left. Their recent form has been dire, with no league wins since early December and only a single victory in all competitions in 2025-a Coppa Italia upset over Juventus on penalties. Last weekend, they lost 2-1 to Fiorentina, and their Coppa Italia journey ended with a heavy defeat to Bologna. The pressure is immense as relegation looms.

Lazio, meanwhile, sit seventh but remain firmly in the hunt for a Champions League spot, only two points behind Juventus in fourth. Their form has been mixed: a 2-2 home draw with Parma last time out saw Pedro rescue a point with a late brace after Lazio trailed by two. Before that, they picked up wins at Genoa (2-0) and Atalanta (1-0) and drew 1-1 in the Derby della Capitale against Roma. However, they also suffered a Europa League exit and have not always convinced, especially at home.

Empoli’s squad is stretched thin by injuries and suspensions. Midfielders Alberto Grassi and Liam Henderson are suspended, while Youssef Maleh, Szymon Zurkowski, and Nicolas Haas remain sidelined. Christian Kouame and Pietro Pellegri are also out, further limiting attacking options. Lazio, for their part, have had injury concerns with Nicolo Rovella, Taty Castellanos, and Nuno Tavares in recent weeks, but most of their core players are expected to be available for this clash.

History heavily favors Lazio: they are unbeaten in their last 12 meetings with Empoli (10 wins, 2 draws), including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture this season. At the Castellani, Lazio have won five in a row, scoring 10 and keeping three clean sheets in that stretch. Empoli, conversely, have failed to win any of their last 19 Serie A matches, the worst run in their top-flight history.

Key Players

• Empoli: Jacopo Fazzini (scored in the last match), Viktor Kovalenko (midfield creativity), Sebastiano Esposito (main striker with limited support due to injuries).
• Lazio: Pedro (rescued a point last week), Taty Castellanos (key goal threat, especially away), Mattéo Guendouzi (midfield engine), Alessio Romagnoli (defensive leader).

Prediction

Given Empoli’s injury crisis, lack of form, and poor head-to-head record, Lazio are strong favorites. Expect Empoli to show fight, but the visitors’ quality and motivation for Champions League football should see them through. Prediction: Empoli 0-2 Lazio.

Betting Markets & Odds

Lazio’s away form and Empoli’s struggles make the visitors a strong pick in most markets. For those seeking value, backing Lazio to win to nil or Castellanos to score could be rewarding.